Climate and what follows us

 I believe scientists who declare we humans are causal in the world wide effects on climate. For those who believe scientists are foisting a diabolical conspiracy on us to raise taxes to enslave us I say they're full of it. I can't think of a more diverse group of sticklers for the truth than scientists. There is no even split in opinion either as some media try to portray the microscopic minority. Something like 95% to 99% of climate and atmospheric researchers agree it's us and it's the 11th hour for action. If you asked your surgeon for your chances of survival of cancer if she didn't operate and she said between 1% to 5% you'd damn sure choose the surgery. Most would choose to listen to an expert. The article may give pause-it did me. It's in Forbes-no lover of government regulations or higher taxes. Certainly a conservative leaning organization. Saying Reagan and Thatcher wanted limits on these gasses. They seem to see the writing on the wall as evidenced by their wilingness to consider the military's considerable attention to global warming. And the one thing that really grabs me is the statement that we need to act NOW. BTW I personally believe that the chemtrail effort is to mitigate warming by shading the ground and postpone the damage because authorized action is difficult in this atmosphere of utter denial of the problem. Join me in trying to face this so we can leave this planet inhabitable for our children and grandchildren.

 

 

 

Energy 11/14/2014 @ 2:01AM 295,601 views

Does Our Military Know Something We Don't About Global Warming?

 

Every branch of the United States Military is worried about climate change. They have been since well before it became controversial. In the wake of an historic climate change agreement between President Obama and President Xi Jinping in China this week (Brookings), the military’s perspective is significant in how it views climate effects on emerging military conflicts.

China will be our biggest military and political problem by the middle of this century. It would be nice to understand what issues will exacerbate our struggles.

At a time when Presidents Ronald Reagan and Bush 41, and even British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, called for binding international protocols to control greenhouse gas emissions, the U.S. Military was seriously studying global warming in order to determine what actions they could take to prepare for the change in threats that our military will face in the future.

The Center for Naval Analysis has had its Military Advisory Board examining the national security implications of climate change for many years. Lead by Army General Paul Kern, the Military Advisory Board is a group of 16 retired flag-level officers from all branches of the Service.

This is not a group normally considered to be liberal activists and fear-mongers.

 United States Navy

A United States Navy Carrier Strike Group in the South China Sea. Every branch of the United States Military is worried that climate change is a significant threat multiplier for future conflicts. And the Navy may bear the brunt of these effects. Source: United States Navy

This year, the Military Advisory Board came out with a new report, called National Security and the Accelerating Risks of Climate Change, that is a serious discussion about what the military sees as the threats and the actions to be taken to mitigate them.

The potential security ramifications of global climate change should be serving as catalysts for cooperation and change. Instead, climate change impacts are already accelerating instability in vulnerable areas of the world and are serving as catalysts for conflict.

Bill Pennell, former Director of the Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, summed up the threat in recent discussions about climate and national security:

“The environmental consequences of climate change are a significant threat multiplier, which by itself, can be a cause for future conflicts. Global warming will affect military operations as well as its theaters of operations. And it poses significant risks and costs to military and civilian infrastructure, especially those facilities located on the coastline.”

“The countries and regions posing the greatest security threats to the United States are among those most susceptible to the adverse and destabilizing effects of climate change. Many of these countries are already unstable and have little economic or social capital for coping with additional disruptions.”

“Whether in Africa, the Middle East, South Asia, or North Korea, we are already seeing how extreme weather events – such as droughts and flooding and the food shortages and population dislocations that accompany them – can destabilize governments and lead to conflict. For example, one trigger of the chaos in Syria has been the multi-year drought the country has experienced since 2006 and the Assad Regime’s ineptitude in dealing with it.”

So why is the country as a whole, and those who normally support our military, so loathe to prepare for possible threats from this direction?

In 1990, Eugene Skolnikoff summarized the national policy issues surrounding global warming and why it has been so difficult to rationally develop policy to address it.

The central problem is that outside the security sector, policy processes confronting issues with substantial uncertainty do not normally yield policy that has high economic or political costs. This is especially true when the uncertainty extends not only to the issues themselves, but also to the measures to avert them or deal with their consequences.”

“The climate change issue illustrates – in fact exaggerates – all the elements of this central problem. Indeed, no major action is likely to be taken until those uncertainties are substantially reduced, and probably not before evidence of warming and its effects are actually visible. Unfortunately, any increase in temperature will be irreversible by the time the danger becomes obvious enough to permit political action.”

And this was in 1990!

 Center for Naval Analysis

As Arctic ice diminishes, the region will see new shipping routes, new energy zones, new fisheries, new tourism and new sources of conflict not covered by existing maritime treaties. Since the United States is not party to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) treaty, we will not have maximum operating flexibility in the Arctic. Even seemingly small administrative issues may become important in the new era, e.g., the Unified Command Plan presently splits Arctic responsibility between two Combatant Commands: U.S. Northern Command (NORTHCOM) and U.S. European Command (EUCOM). This type of things needs to be resolved with the coming global changes in mind. Source: Center for Naval Analysis

General Gordon Sullivan put the issue of uncertainty where it should be: “People are saying they want to be perfectly convinced about climate science projections…But speaking as a soldier, we never have 100 percent certainty. If you wait until you have 100 percent certainty, something bad is going to happen on the battlefield.”

And as Rear Admiral David Titley, former Oceanographer of the Navy, stated in a 2013 testimony to Congress, “I tell people, this is cutting-edge 19th-Century science that we’re now refining.”

The Military Advisory Board is dismayed that discussions of climate change have become so polarizing and have receded from the arena of informed public discourse and debate.

“While the causes of climate change and its impacts continue to be argued or ignored in our nation, the linkage between changes in our climate and national security has been obscured. Political concerns and budgetary limitations cannot be allowed to dominate what is essentially a salient national security concern for our nation. Our Congress, the administration, and all who are charged with planning and assuring our security should take up the challenge of confronting the coming changes to our environment.”

What makes this week’s U.S.-China climate agreement so important is its announcement in the run up to the 2015 United Nation’s global climate summit in Paris.  Since most of humanity’s emissions come from our two countries, international pressure has mounted on both of us to get serious about reductions. Our military was knee-deep in these negotiations.

The world was thinking that the U.S. and China was ready for a game of GHG chicken, each waiting for the other to instigate steep cuts.  By announcing a common plan in advance of the Paris summit, the two Presidents have undercut the acrimony anticipated for these negotiations and set a do-something tone for the conference that the rest of the world will find hard to ignore.

Our Military Advisory Board concluded that “coordinated and well-executed actions to limit heat-trapping gases and increase resilience to help prevent and protect against the worst projected climate change impacts are required — now.”

Whatever your thoughts on the relative human and natural influences on climate change, ignoring our military is not prudent. They understand the dangers of not being prepared.

Follow Jim on https://twitter.com/JimConca and see his and Dr. Wright’s book at http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1419675885/sr=1-10/qid=1195953013/

Noa's picture

I agree that humans are adversely affecting the climate on this planet and we should be acting more responsibly.  But we must remember that statistics can be skewed to support any point of view.  Here are some things to consider:

  • - Scientists are pressured to reach the conclusions that their financial backers want them to reach.  Scientists with opposing views do not receiving funding for their research and are often discredited.
  • - Climate on this planet goes through major cycles, so if we focus upon a few decades of human historyinstead of looking at the natural cycle over thousands of years, we're not seeing the big picture.
  • - The sun is particularly active at this point in time.  Many climate change studies only examine human activity without factoring in the sun's affect on climate.
  • - All the planets in our solar system are experiencing similar increases in global temperature.
  • - The term, "global warming" had to be changed to "climate change" because parts of the earth are actually getting colder, not warmer.
  • - If governments are truly interested in halting climate change, why are they still investing in fossil fuels and suppressing free energy technologies?
  • - To understand the hidden agenda behind climate change, one need only look at the connection between carbon taxation and Agenda 21. 

 

 

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/13/peer-reviewed-survey-...

Peer-Reviewed Survey Finds Majority Of Scientists Skeptical Of Global Warming Crisis

The global warming icon for the ubx.

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

It is becoming clear that not only do many scientists dispute the asserted global warming crisis, but these skeptical scientists may indeed form a scientific consensus.

Don’t look now, but maybe a scientific consensus exists concerning global warming after all. Only 36 percent of geoscientists and engineers believe that humans are creating a global warming crisis, according to a survey reported in the peer-reviewed Organization Studies. By contrast, a strong majority of the 1,077 respondents believe that nature is the primary cause of recent global warming and/or that future global warming will not be a very serious problem.

The survey results show geoscientists (also known as earth scientists) and engineers hold similar views as meteorologists. Two recent surveys of meteorologists (summarized here and here) revealed similar skepticism of alarmist global warming claims.

According to the newly published survey of geoscientists and engineers, merely 36 percent of respondents fit the “Comply with Kyoto” model. The scientists in this group “express the strong belief that climate change is happening, that it is not a normal cycle of nature, and humans are the main or central cause.”

The authors of the survey report, however, note that the overwhelming majority of scientists fall within four other models, each of which is skeptical of alarmist global warming claims.

The survey finds that 24 percent of the scientist respondents fit the “Nature Is Overwhelming” model. “In their diagnostic framing, they believe that changes to the climate are natural, normal cycles of the Earth.” Moreover, “they strongly disagree that climate change poses any significant public risk and see no impact on their personal lives.”

Another group of scientists fit the “Fatalists” model. These scientists, comprising 17 percent of the respondents, “diagnose climate change as both human- and naturally caused. ‘Fatalists’ consider climate change to be a smaller public risk with little impact on their personal life. They are skeptical that the scientific debate is settled regarding the IPCC modeling.” These scientists are likely to ask, “How can anyone take action if research is biased?”

The next largest group of scientists, comprising 10 percent of respondents, fit the “Economic Responsibility” model. These scientists “diagnose climate change as being natural or human caused. More than any other group, they underscore that the ‘real’ cause of climate change is unknown as nature is forever changing and uncontrollable. Similar to the ‘nature is overwhelming’ adherents, they disagree that climate change poses any significant public risk and see no impact on their personal life. They are also less likely to believe that the scientific debate is settled and that the IPCC modeling is accurate. In their prognostic framing, they point to the harm the Kyoto Protocol and all regulation will do to the economy.”

The final group of scientists, comprising 5 percent of the respondents, fit the “Regulation Activists” model. These scientists “diagnose climate change as being both human- and naturally caused, posing a moderate public risk, with only slight impact on their personal life.” Moreover, “They are also skeptical with regard to the scientific debate being settled and are the most indecisive whether IPCC modeling is accurate.”

Taken together, these four skeptical groups numerically blow away the 36 percent of scientists who believe global warming is human caused and a serious concern.

One interesting aspect of this new survey is the unmistakably alarmist bent of the survey takers. They frequently use terms such as “denier” to describe scientists who are skeptical of an asserted global warming crisis, and they refer to skeptical scientists as “speaking against climate science” rather than “speaking against asserted climate projections.” Accordingly, alarmists will have a hard time arguing the survey is biased or somehow connected to the ‘vast right-wing climate denial machine.’

Another interesting aspect of this new survey is that it reports on the beliefs of scientists themselves rather than bureaucrats who often publish alarmist statements without polling their member scientists. We now have meteorologists, geoscientists and engineers all reporting that they are skeptics of an asserted global warming crisis, yet the bureaucrats of these organizations frequently suck up to the media and suck up to government grant providers by trying to tell us the opposite of what their scientist members actually believe.

People who look behind the self-serving statements by global warming alarmists about an alleged “consensus” have always known that no such alarmist consensus exists among scientists. Now that we have access to hard surveys of scientists themselves, it is becoming clear that not only do many scientists dispute the asserted global warming crisis, but these skeptical scientists may indeed form a scientific consensus.

 

Francis's picture

with Noa here.  It's a safe bet that any time they chime in with the phrase "National Security" they're playing the fear and race card and pulling the wool over your eyes.  Not buying it.

ChrisBowers's picture

From all I've seen, I could not agree more.  The chemtrail issue has its side effects problems, but the primary intent IMO has been to slow down the process that nows seems inevitable IMO.  Even if we cut all emissions today, we would still have a climate change problem for some time to come IMO.

IMO the military branches do not get as caught up in political BS as much as politicians do, and they "get real" real quick when they sense a serious problem, and what is happening is very serious.  They know they will be the ones called upon when there is conflict and devastation.

It is estimated now that, at the current rate of burning of fossil fuels, the near future will be a continuous event cycle of rescue and conflict resolution due to extreme weather events.  And while all of this is so seemingly emminent, the oil industry continues on with fracking, causing earthquakes and poisoned water wells.  It is completely insane, like a snowball rolling downhill picking up speed and mass and must crash to stop.

"Many climate scientists say their biggest fear is that warming could melt the Arctic permafrost—which stretches for thousands of miles across Alaska, Canada, and Siberia. There is twice as much CO2 locked beneath the tundra as there is in the earth’s atmosphere. Melting would release enormous stores of methane, a greenhouse gas nearly thirty times more potent than carbon dioxide. If that happens, as the hydrologist Jane C. S. Long told me when we met recently in her office at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, “it’s game over.” (from The New Yorker article linked below)

That article Brian outlines many of the important and very sobering issues IMO. Thanks so much for posting it.  My personal hunch is that economic concerns are pushing an agenda for getting something/anything to work, and that in and of itself scares me because short term fixes can cause unforeseen problems.

It has me wanting to quit my job and just live off of what little I have til its gone - have felt for too long now that I am just (we are) rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic.  Little else matters if we don't get this right and soon, and it already may be too late no matter what we do.

If we are too late, my last and best hope is that the Earth will do what it has done many times in the past - have a good old fashioned ice age that will clean up things very naturally over so many thousands of years...

That said, here is an interesting link concerning the origin of the term "chemtrails" and more on the Air Force's involvement with aerosols used in geoengineering.

Air Force Academy “Chemtrails” Manual Available For Download « Chemtrails: The Exotic Weapon

and a link on alleged policy on solar radiation management

OurEnergyPolicy.org | Solar Radiation Management–An Evolving Climate Policy Option

and a few more to muddy the debate waters even more

The Climate Fixers - The New Yorker

Geoengineering | Environment | The Guardian

Oxford Geoengineering Programme // What is Geoengineering?

Obama Takes Bold Step to Geoengineer Climate Change | Bill Chameides

The Geoengineering Option | Foreign Affairs (from geopolitical commerce central, the CFR)

USAF Enviromental Specialist Kristen Meghan | Blows Whistle On Air Force | Chemtrail Chemicals - YouTube

The Climate Fixers article is my favorite of all of these and makes me think that the Elephant in the room is what it says on the Georgia Guidestones concerning human population.  After reading that article, I don't see any solution but the reduction of numbers of our kind.  There is no other species that consumes fossil fuels like we do.  Profoundly simple and devastatingly true.  How the numbers are decreased to a sustainable population is the only question left for me at this point.

Well, time to get back to polishing brass and rearranging deck chairs.....

ChrisBowers's picture

There is one idea that gives me hope from the Climate Fixers article, and I quote:

Early this winter, I visited a demonstration project on the campus of S.R.I. International, the Menlo Park institution that is a combination think tank and technological incubator. The project, built by Global Thermostat, looked like a very high-tech elevator or an awfully expensive math problem. “When I called chemical engineers and said I want to do this on a planetary scale, they laughed,’’ Peter Eisenberger, Global Thermostat’s president, told me. In 1996, Eisenberger was appointed the founding director of the Earth Institute, at Columbia University, where he remains a professor of earth and environmental sciences. Before that, he spent a decade running the materials research institute at Princeton University, and nearly as much time at Exxon, in charge of research and development. He believes he has developed a system to capture CO2 from the atmosphere at low heat and potentially at low cost.

The trial project is essentially a five-story brick edifice specially constructed to function like a honeycomb. Global Thermostat coats the bricks with chemicals called amines to draw CO2 from the air and bind with it. The carbon dioxide is then separated with a proprietary method that uses low-temperature heat—something readily available for free, since it is a waste product of many power plants. “Using low-temperature heat changes the equation,’’ Eisenberger said. He is an excitable man with the enthusiasm of a graduate student and the manic gestures of an orchestra conductor. He went on to explain that the amine coating on the bricks binds the CO2 at the molecular level, and the amount it can capture depends on the surface area; honeycombs provide the most surface space possible per square metre.

There are two groups of honey-combs that sit on top of each other. As Eisenberger pointed out, “You can only absorb so much CO2 at once, so when the honeycomb is full it drops into a lower section.” Steam heats and releases the CO2—and the honeycomb rises again. (Currently, carbon dioxide is used commercially in carbonated beverages, brewing, and pneumatic drying systems for packaged food. It is also used in welding. Eisenberger argues that, ideally, carbon waste would be recycled to create an industrial form of photosynthesis, which would help reduce our dependence on fossil fuels.)

Unlike some other scientists engaged in geoengineering, Eisenberger is not bothered by the notion of tinkering with nature. “We have devised a system that introduces no additional threats into the environment,’’ he told me. “And the idea of interfering with benign nature is ridiculous. The Bambi view of nature is totally false. Nature is violent, amoral, and nihilistic. If you look at the history of this planet, you will see cycles of creation and destruction that would offend our morality as human beings. But somehow, because it’s ‘nature,’ it’s supposed to be fine.’’ Eisenberger founded and runs Global Thermostat with Graciela Chichilnisky, an Argentine economist who wrote the plan, adopted in 2005, for the international carbon market that emerged from the Kyoto Climate talks. Edgar Bronfman, Jr., an heir to the Seagram fortune, is Global Thermostat’s biggest investor. (The company is one of the finalists for Richard Branson’s Virgin Earth Challenge prize. In 2007, Branson offered a cash prize of twenty-five million dollars to anyone who could devise a process that would drain large quantities of greenhouse gases from the atmosphere.)

“What is fascinating for me is the way the innovation process has changed,’’ Eisenberger said. “In the past, somebody would make a discovery in a laboratory and say, ‘What can I do with this?’ And now we ask, ‘What do we want to design?,’ because we believe there is powerful enough knowledge to do it. That is what my partner and I did.” The pilot, which began running last year, works on a very small scale, capturing about seven hundred tons of CO2 a year. (By comparison, an automobile puts out about six tons a year.) Eisenberger says that it is important to remember that it took more than a century to assemble the current energy system: coal and gas plants, factories, and the worldwide transportation network that has been responsible for depositing trillions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere. “We are not going to get it all out of the atmosphere in twenty years,’’ he said. “It will take at least thirty years to do this, but if we start now that is plenty of time. You would just need a source of low-temperature heat—factories anywhere in the world are ideal.” He envisions a network of twenty thousand such devices scattered across the planet. Each would cost about a hundred million dollars—a two-trillion-dollar investment spread out over three decades.

“There is a strong history of the system refusing to accept something new,” Eisenberger said. “People say I am nuts. But it would be surprising if people didn’t call me crazy. Look at the history of innovation! If people don’t call you nuts, then you are doing something wrong.”

The Climate Fixers - The New Yorker

Brian's picture

 Since global warming became a household word, there has been a slowly building list of 'facts' (like the sun getting warmer) that are consistently refuted yet they remain 'facts'. There was a point when I believed  Agenda 21 was the boogie man-not anymore. Now when I hear Agenda 21 added on to that list I just see that as evidence I was correct.

Only 36% of climate scientists think global warming is a serious threat? I guess we'll have to choose our religions here because I refuse to believe 'your' facts and you'll refuse to believe 'mine'. Congratulations to the people who bring you hydrocarbons for a better tomorrow. Their psyOP linguists and psychologists know that people WANT to believe an exotic threat exists rather than face a daunting real one. I call it deflection and think it signals denial of problems that must be faced for the individual to grow and be healthy. They are exploiting this human weakness so they can sell more oil. Wait-can you hear that? It's the sound of millions of people whistling past the graveyard.

Wendy's picture

There is no larger use of petroleum than the phoney wars the military engages in.

Those phoney wars are based on the "scientific" NIST report that office fires on 9/11 brought down a steel framed building.

The medical establishment is totally wrong about cancer - anyone who doesn't follow their advice to poison their body with radiation and chemo but uses natural methods like marijuana, diet and laetril has a 4-5 better chance of survival.

The latest the media is reporting about global warming is that co2 is heating up the oceans. Since when does heat sink? And how is a 300% increase in a substance that is only 0.04% of the atmosphere become more important than water vapor, which can be as much as 4% of the atmosphere? The Jurasic period is when all this oil was produced - it was one of the most prolific periods of earths history and was far warmer than the climate at our current period. How can warming be a threat to life when the Jurasic was so full of life?

The scientific establishment thought the earth was the center of the universe for centuries. The history of science shows how dreadfully wrong it had been through out it's history and how it has always been influenced by political and religious forces.

All this said, I am open to the idea that there may be some truth to the idea that man is causing some warming. As I continually tell people, how many of us have had the chance to look at an ice core for ourselves? It's a game of he said, she said. So I try to base my dis-belief on the scientific contradictions I see in the global warming arguments but who knows?

David Ray Griffin, a respected 9/11 researcher just came out with a global warming book.

http://www.claritypress.com/Griffin.html

 

This has gotten serious, as methane seems to have gotten into the greenhouse gas picture.

What I remember reading 6 or so years ago was that there is a lot of methane ice on the ocean floor and if it ever started melting it would bubble up to the surface and we would be in for a lot of trouble.

Methane is a lot more potent of a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide. I have read different articles ranging anywhere from 10 to 86 times more potent. This would cause a runaway condition where the ocean gets warmer, releasing even more methane, getting even more warmer and so on – creating a vicious cycle or positive feedback loop.

I read that a while back. Then, just this summer I started noticing articles about methane bubbles starting to come up from the ocean floor off the US east coast – articles something like this:

Climate Bomb? Methane Vents Bubble on Seafloor off East Coast: Study

I wondered if this was the runaway condition they were worried about or are these areas up and down the east coast are just isolated areas due to nearby hot magma vents or something.

Then this fall I noticed articles about methane bubbles coming up on the US WEST coast off Washington state.

Methane Being Released Off Washington Coast By Global Warming

A more recent article quoting University of Washington sources puts the ocean warming rate at half a degree each year! (BTW):

Seafloor melting releases giant plume of methane off Washington coast

Its not just about ocean temperature, the melting of the methane ice, as well as increased atmospheric carbon dioxide, also acidifies the ocean. This can kill coral reefs and cause mass extinctions of ocean life.

Also huge methane bubble plumes can effect the buoyancy of ships causing them to suddenly sink if they move over them.

Fracking also causes natural gas leaks, the biggest component of which is methane.

Methane Leaks Wipe Out Any Climate Benefit Of Fracking, Satellite Observations Confirm

All the methane concerns will be ignored by the main stream media. I watched one TV pundit say there was one aspect of global warming that they couldn't talk about on TV. I am guessing that it is the methane aspect of it.

I don't see any incentive for those sounding the global warming alarm. "Making a name for oneself" does not cut it as it is a major embarrassment if they are wrong. I do see economic incentive for those suppressing the global warming alarm: Oil Industry profits.

I have seen a lot of suspicious polls in general recently. I wonder who pays for these polls.

We DO need to stop all greenhouse gas emission and fracking immediately if we have any chance of fixing this.

If we are going to continue to produce energy through chemical combustion we should switch to hydrogen as the only by-product of hydrogen combustion is water and no greenhouse gases. It looks like the US Navy is going to do just this:

How the navy will turn seawater into fuel

Water is a safe storage medium for hydrogen fuel. One can use pulsed electrolysis to separate the hydrogen out by separating the H2O water molecule into its hydrogen and oxygen components. The pulse frequency would be at the resonant frequency of the oxygen-hydrogen bond of the water molecule. This minimizes the amount of energy it takes to break the hydrogen-oxygen bond. (Regular DC electrolysis is not suitable as it puts more energy in than you get out from burning the hydrogen.)

There are kits that you can retrofit into your car to use pulsed electrolysis on water that can boost your automobile's gas mileage significantly. I would expect most of these businesses have been bought up by the oil industry and the kits modified to not work by now. However with a little expertise and separating what works and what doesn't work, and “fixing” these broken kits one should be able to get them to work again.

Keeping the oxygen from the electrolysis in the mixture would have a turbo-like effect – like “fanning the flames”.

I am of the camp that we need to do something quick.

Wendy's picture

Thanks Mark,

These are the best arguments I've seen so far that say that global warming is something we should worry about. I so appreciate the logic, common sense and science as opposed to many bad arguments that mainstream media pushes.

Thanks,

Wendy

Brian's picture

 I read the apparently superb study Noa's Forbes article is based on (the one done on experts attitudes on global warming and whether to act) In this article the authors break down for/against taking action into categories:

Fatalists (no action/cynics) / Overwhelming Nature(no action) / Comply with Kyoto (action) / Regulation activists (action) / Economic Responsibility (no action-will hurt economy) / Disguised (?)

 They categorised the responses by industry: in a table on page 16 of the study -interesting! It shows opinions to be far from consensus among experts same as the public. So I was wrong and Noa was right.

  So is it because of different data? Nope. It's dismissing the data completely. Individuals are declaring themselves individual experts and saying " I just don't believe it". They may say "The atmosphere is too large for human action to effect it." (anyone remember when they banned Fluorocarbons and the ozone layer started to heal? I do). Or "It's too late to do anything". Imagine if you were staging a play and your actors started saying "Oh this is too hard" or "nobody's going to come" would you just give up? No, you would push past the weariness and resistance and carry on. It's just human resistance so you don't give up. You have to keep faith that what you are doing is the right thing to do.

And so........the authors in their conclusion discuss how to move consensus forward to get past this temporary logjam.

Noa's picture

When in doubt, follow the money.

Brian's picture

Bit of a non-sequitur, don't you think? I know that you have an opinion you think is a fact and that this fact is self-explanatory but...who's money do you refer to?

Noa's picture

I'd wager that you're as convinced by your "facts" as I am by mine, Brian.

I was referring to the globalist agenda.  I can't think of a way that us common folk could profit by saying that climate change isn't entirely due to human activity, can you?

On the other hand, there are numerous ways to profit from a population who feels culpable for "global warming" eg. carbon tax, agenda 21, not to mention the scads of elite-owned environmental groups masquerading as "charities."

Now, don't get me wrong.  I love this beautiful green planet and I do all I can to preserve it.  But if we catch the establishment telling us one lie (and there are so many), why would we believe anything else they tell us?

Brian's picture

 Because even liars tell the truth most of the time. A common thread in what many of us here say is that we are victims of a global cabal. They reportedly have tremendous central control of our experiences. All information is filtered and steered toward an evil agenda. All government functions are to enslave. All aspects of life are dominated. I used to believe this but began to suspect these were just fears. I have NO DOUBT that this is at least partly true (9/11, tower 7, assassinations of beloved leaders etc.) but it does not seem all emcompassing to me. There is often evidence that many "alternative" news stories are fear porn and seem produced to achieve an effect. I wonder if it's an addiction created by the ego.

I've tried to give all possible explanations credible weight in coming to conclusions. I find I often read or hear clear and plausible explanations as to why things are as they are that don't fit that worldview of domination and victimhood. I choose to consider them as likely especially if they are the simplist explanation.

Noa's picture

"I find I often read or hear clear and plausible explanations as to why things are as they are that don't fit that worldview of domination and victimhood."

 

Really, like what, for example?

The Gathering Spot is a PEERS empowerment website
"Dedicated to the greatest good of all who share our beautiful world"